The Racial Geography of U.S. Public Opinion at the Punitive Turn

A large literature considers the mid-century a key turning point in punitive public opinion in the United States. This article examines racial and geographic heterogeneity in changing public opinion during the mid-century using data on death penalty support from as early as 1953. I find that the punitive turn is characterized by divergence in death penalty support between Black and White people, and that White Southerners grew more supportive than Whites in the non-South from before to after the turn. Additional tests identify that this regional divergence is unlikely to have arisen by chance. Heterogeneity in partisanship and responsiveness to regional violent crime support is consistent with the idea that crime rates themselves were meaningful in punitive attitude formation only insofar as they were mediated by additional socio-political forces. These findings contribute to the literature by offering important new descriptive characterizations of historical patterns in racial attitudes during the punitive turn, and suggest that understanding punitive attitudes requires attention to the mediating forces of race and geography on the experience of regional crime.